Friday, September 2, 2011

Day 49 - Saturday, September 3, 2011

UPDATE - 4:12pm - Up and down day. I hope you bet Slew's Big Finale in the 4th race. I sure DID! But we are knocked out of the Pick 5 and Place Pick 6. Here is the ticket for the Saratoga $1,000,000 late Pick 4 on races 9-12: 4,8 with 4,6,7,8 with 1,5,12 with 3,8,10. That's $36 for a 50¢ action.

UPDATE - 10:45am -
No scratches that change the plays. GOOD LUCK today. Let me know if you are going to be at Mth today. I will be there.

Once again, here is an early look at tomorrow's Monmouth action. In the Pick 5 the all Top Choice ticket is only $36, but the total play with the back-ups will run $174.
In the Place Pick 6 we start with two singles, so the ticket is only $27: Let's get it two days in a row: 3 with 4 with 1,4,6 with 2,11,12 with 6,9 with 1,5,11. Check back on Saturday for any changes that the scratches may cause.

In race 4, I love the #3 Slew's Big Finale. Off the claim trainer Jason Servis turned this horse around to win a N3L race with a 71 BSF. That BSF is one of the top figs in the race. This 3YO has 3 wins already and goes into this 20000B claimer that has a N2L restriction for older horses and he has already won at the N3L level. Jockey Luzzi stayed on board when the trainer change happened and he is not a regular rider for Servis, which makes me think he asked to stay on him. He is 3-1 morning line, but I would be extremely happy to get those odds.

In the grade 3 Sapling, which is race 9, I like #1 Voodoo Dancer. Julien Leparoux comes down from Saratoga to ride. This horse is just too fast for the others. He can get clear from the rail, but he will be the favorite. The #3 Scallion should improve off his MSW win where he broke badly. Horses he beat have come back to win. #5 Managed Account should be closing if the speed horses go too fast. #11 Space Traveler won a fast MSW at Mth for Pletcher and will also be closing.

In race 11, the grade 2 Molly Pitcher, the Pletcher trained #5 Quiet Giant looks too tough for the rest of these fillies and mares. She romped in the Lady's Secret at Mth on July 31st earning at 98 BSF. Laparoux is named on this one too. Sorry, but this one will be the favorite also. #1 Payton d'Oro drops out of grade one races. Will that be enough to for her to get a win for Larry Jones? #9 Arena Elvira SCRATCHED.

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